MiG
Amicus
Republika
Posts: 4,793
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Post by MiG on Jan 14, 2008 20:03:54 GMT -5
^ Dude, as you have seen, not even law can stop the will of the people (And I am using Kosovo as the example, on purpose, because it is a perfect example). If a war happens, yes Serbs are in a weaker position, and would ultimately loose, but they would put up one hell of a fight, and even though the would still lose, they would end the war or "surrender" with some sort of a deal of Self-Governance, or Semi-Autonomy.
Nobody wants another Civil War in Bosnia, as you can see, due to that war, that nation is still corrupt and is STILL struggling with ALL aspects of it's economic and political stance (Whether that be Internal, or External, or just Pan-Balkan politics to get their say, they are lagging majorly). Many people say "Oh yes, say yes to independence and that's that.". It's not as simple as that, you need to analyze a situation before hand, and then make that option and vote towards what is best for your country, not what a superpower supports. After all, it is based on what is best for the people, what the government should do, or not do.
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donnie
Senior Moderator
Nike Leka i Kelmendit
Posts: 3,389
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Post by donnie on Jan 15, 2008 8:04:57 GMT -5
What Bosnia does in regards to Kosova is not of crucial importance momentarily. Personally, I can understand the Bosniak position. Not that there is a real paralell between RS and Kosova's quest for freedom, but simply because in the subjective eyes of the Bosnian Serbs it is so. Therefore, there's a risk of civil war in case Bosnia recognizes Kosova and thereafter denies RS to seceede.
In the future, Serbs will come to accept the new political reality though. Question is how long it will take.
Like in Krajina? The Serbs there were quite stubborn and hotheaded as well. Yet it went quite quickly when outside support faded for their cause and they were left alone. The same will occur in Bosnia. If there is no international interest for RS secession, it will not come to pass. Serbs might put up some brief resistance, but they will not be able to offer much damage of the scale you'd like to portray. This of course assuming that the West will side with the Bosniaks. If the Bosniaks are left on their own, it will be a far tougher confrontation for the simple fact that RS has the support of Serbia.
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MiG
Amicus
Republika
Posts: 4,793
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Post by MiG on Jan 15, 2008 14:08:49 GMT -5
1. Dude, you are probably the 100th person I'm saying this to, in this very Sub Forum. No situation is ever the same. You can never compare RS to RSK.
2. RSK was never as powerful as RS. RS has the backing of Belgrade, and Belgrade has the backing of Moscow. RSK does not exist, because it was a renegade state, and viewed by the world as an illegal uprising, and therefore was crushed. RS was created as a basis of equilibrium of power in Bosnia, whereas RSK was viewed as nothing like such.
3. I am not trying to portray anything. I think you need a reality check on the situation pal. Take a look at the demographics, and start from there. Bosnia, in total has 4,552,198 citizens. Out of those 4,552,198, 37.1% are Serb. That means out of the entire population, 1,688,865 are Serbs. They already have their own entity, and enjoy the benefits of controling their own economy. If there is a civil war, and there was an attempt at succession, RS might ultimately lose, but the Serbs will put up a good fight, and it will be a long an bloody war.
4. Bosnia would never be left alone, as there is two sides to the story. RS vs. FBiH. RS Might have Serbia, and then drag in Moscow with it, maybe even Montenegro, but then FBiH would have Croatia, which would drag in Germany, Austria, Hungary, Czech Rep., and with that would drag in the EU. Wars are NEVER fought one on one. There is ALWAYS things behind the scenes, and things nobody ever notices.
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