Post by mstislav on Nov 7, 2007 14:12:30 GMT -5
I wanted to share with you new article "Russia to the West - is it a Threat or Hope?" by Peter Khomyakov. I wonder if Canada and other western countries could benefit out of badly developed situation in Russia, or a "falling apart monster" could pull the rest of the world down to the hell?
The article itself is here - www.vdesyatku.com/RussiaToTheWest.html
Here's some quotes:
"The West is pretty much satisfied by the modern Russia 's role as just an oil & natural gas suppler for the well developed world economies. And the West understands that the Putin's Russia can not change this status quo by any political measures."
Then author briefly explains why Russia couldn't even hold such a role and concludes:
"So the simplest math allows us to make a statement that RF will either fail its gas export commitments already in the year 2010, or it will sufficiently cut the gas supply to the local consumers, which would lead to a social explosion and the regime collapse. Because of in Russia they could tolerate a hunger and social degradation, but not homes without heating."
Then he's asking "...Are there in Russia at least ideological factions (we even do not speak of the real forces) which stand for the full shape integration of Russia into the Western world?"
and answers "...such groups exist. But they are absolutely not known in the West. That's partly for the reasons of a political competition in the opposition field. But that's also partly because of not very professional job done by some of the analysts. "
And finally something for a dessert - "First. This movement sets a project of full integration of Russia into the Western world. But it denies such integration methods, which were used by the classic liberals in Russia in the 1990s...
Second. This ideological trend is ready to give a "green light" to the western capital for the access to the natural gas fields, which Russia could not develop on its own. And not just gas. Few people are aware that there are two new oil field regions in Russia, which are not being exploited yet simply because of lack of the capacity and know how...
Third. It is no secret that the ideological trend, being characterized here, has a sharp anti-Muslim vector. And in case of its political success it's ready to contribute actively to the West in solving the problems of Iraq and Afghanistan and so on...
Yes, these ideological formations are marginal. But the Bolsheviks (the communists) were marginal in the winter of 1916-1917. And through just 10 months they became the rulers of Russia . Perhaps then many in the West deeply regretted that they timely didn't pay attention to this marginal group. Who knows, the history of the twentieth century could take a different path then."
What do you think of all of that?
The article itself is here - www.vdesyatku.com/RussiaToTheWest.html
Here's some quotes:
"The West is pretty much satisfied by the modern Russia 's role as just an oil & natural gas suppler for the well developed world economies. And the West understands that the Putin's Russia can not change this status quo by any political measures."
Then author briefly explains why Russia couldn't even hold such a role and concludes:
"So the simplest math allows us to make a statement that RF will either fail its gas export commitments already in the year 2010, or it will sufficiently cut the gas supply to the local consumers, which would lead to a social explosion and the regime collapse. Because of in Russia they could tolerate a hunger and social degradation, but not homes without heating."
Then he's asking "...Are there in Russia at least ideological factions (we even do not speak of the real forces) which stand for the full shape integration of Russia into the Western world?"
and answers "...such groups exist. But they are absolutely not known in the West. That's partly for the reasons of a political competition in the opposition field. But that's also partly because of not very professional job done by some of the analysts. "
And finally something for a dessert - "First. This movement sets a project of full integration of Russia into the Western world. But it denies such integration methods, which were used by the classic liberals in Russia in the 1990s...
Second. This ideological trend is ready to give a "green light" to the western capital for the access to the natural gas fields, which Russia could not develop on its own. And not just gas. Few people are aware that there are two new oil field regions in Russia, which are not being exploited yet simply because of lack of the capacity and know how...
Third. It is no secret that the ideological trend, being characterized here, has a sharp anti-Muslim vector. And in case of its political success it's ready to contribute actively to the West in solving the problems of Iraq and Afghanistan and so on...
Yes, these ideological formations are marginal. But the Bolsheviks (the communists) were marginal in the winter of 1916-1917. And through just 10 months they became the rulers of Russia . Perhaps then many in the West deeply regretted that they timely didn't pay attention to this marginal group. Who knows, the history of the twentieth century could take a different path then."
What do you think of all of that?